Friday, May 4, 2012

Normal operations of nuclear fuel cycle, 1980 to 2012,synergistically complicit in causing 110 million infant mortalities worldwide and 10 million in India.

 Copyright 2013 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar

The worldwide nuclear capacity grew from 135541 MW in 1980 to 376824 MW in 2011. Assuming a 0.1 % Cs137 inventory leak worldwide, the Cs137 leak increased from 481171 Ci in 1980 to 35905664 Ci in 2011. The Yearly Cumulative Indian Infant Mortality increased from 3295470 in 1980 to 65946980 in 2010. The excess Infant Mortality over that corresponding to the compound interest rate 2001/1980 grew from 0 in 1980 to 502228 in 2010 and cumulative excess from 1980 to 2010 was 9595642. Correspondingly the Worldwide Yearly Cumulative Infant Mortality grew from 45826169 to 1218625914 while the excess Infant Mortality over the compound interest rate 2001/1980 grew from 0 to 5493023 and the cumulative excess infant mortality grew to 105519521 in 2010. Note the logarithmic increases for both Indian and Worldwide excess Infant Mortality from year to year as the cumulative leak of Cs 137 builds up even at 0.1% of the inventory.
It is of especial concern to observe the Infant Mortality rate for 2011 and 2012 considering that Fukushima catastrophe started on 11 March 2011 and is ongoing.   Note from Figure 7 also that the increment in worldwide population is drastically significantly going down. Considering Fukushima disaster, the rise in 2011 as extrapolated may not turn out to be true. The 2011 figure based on UN estimate for the 2011 population may not turn out to be correct because of Fukushima ongoing extinction level event, especially regarding Infant Mortality and still births.

References:
1. See http://plutoniumaradiumabillionpeoplehitdna.blogspot.in/ for population data. Un figures from
reference cited there, 2010 Revision.
2. World Nuclear Electricity Capacity data from Energy Information Administration, International Energy Annual 2006.